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Jesse Delaney vs Alexander Weis — Prediction

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:35

Predicted probability

Jesse Delaney

Australia

21.15%

Alexander Weis

Italy

78.85%

Average Odds

11.07  /  1.03

Market probability

8.51%  /  91.49%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Weis is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1510 vs 1252), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1513 vs 1375) and more wins on clay courts (57 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1252.2 Elo 1510.0
1374.6 Elo (surface) 1512.6
6 Wins (Challenger) 57
0 Wins (surface) 57
2 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.796 Dominance ratio 0.754
1007 Rank 594
27.7 Age 29.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jesse Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Alexander Weis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jesse Delaney Alexander Weis

1st Serve In %

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

16.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

37.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.9%
54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.4%
62.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.5%
46.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.6%
28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.2%
47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jesse Delaney Alexander Weis

Break Points Saved %

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%
57.7%

Break Points Converted %

41.9%
53.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jesse Delaney 00 Alexander Weis

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Alexander Weis #594

Jesse Delaney #1007

7-5 6-4
2 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 1
93 Service Points 61
44 First Serve In 40
28 First Serve Won 25
21 Second Serve Won 16
14 Break Points Saved 0
18 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.0 Average Odds 11.1

Jesse Delaney — Last 10

L W W L L L L L L W

Alexander Weis — Last 10

L L L W W L W W L L