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Jerome Kym vs Tiago Torres — Prediction

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Jerome Kym

Switzerland

72.27%

Tiago Torres

Portugal

27.73%

Average Odds

1.35  /  2.92

Market probability

68.38%  /  31.62%

Why This Prediction?

Jerome Kym is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1643), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1708 vs 1548) and a stronger serve (63.3% vs 56.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1775.9 Elo 1643.3
1707.8 Elo (surface) 1547.8
81 Wins (Challenger) 14
18 Wins (surface) 5
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.925 Dominance ratio 0.969
285 Rank 354
23.6 Age 24.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jerome Kym

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tiago Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-20.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Tiago Torres

1st Serve In %

62.0%
54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%
67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%
30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%
65.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.97
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%
52.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%
65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%
33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%
52.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.53
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Tiago Torres

Break Points Saved %

71.4%
61.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%
42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.9%
61.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%
48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jerome Kym and Tiago Torres have never played each other.

Jerome Kym — Last 10

L L W L W W W W L W

Tiago Torres — Last 10

L L L W W L W W L W