ATP tennis predict — Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · R16 12:30

Predicted probability

Jerome Kym

Switzerland

70.68%

Max Houkes

Netherlands

29.32%

Average Odds

1.44 / 2.64

Market probability

64.71% / 35.29%

Why This Prediction?

Jerome Kym is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1734 vs 1603), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1724 vs 1642) and a stronger serve (68.2% vs 55.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1733.7 Elo 1602.8

1724.2 Elo (surface) 1642.1

78 Wins (Challenger) 65

59 Wins (surface) 64

10 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.929 Dominance ratio 1.116

205 Rank 242

23.5 Age 26.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jerome Kym

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Houkes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Max Houkes

1st Serve In %

62.0%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.97

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

57.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Max Houkes

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.9%

64.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jerome Kym 1 – 0 Max Houkes

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-06

R16

Jerome Kym #205

Max Houkes #242

6-3 7-6

5 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

67 Service Points 61

41 First Serve In 38

34 First Serve Won 31

19 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Clay Tulln CH · 2024-09-02

R32

Jerome Kym #180

Max Houkes #297

4-6 6-3 6-4

5 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 5

94 Service Points 79

68 First Serve In 46

50 First Serve Won 35

14 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jerome Kym vs Max Houkes — Prediction