ATP tennis predict — Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moller

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · SF 14:00

Predicted probability

Jerome Kym

Switzerland

59.55%

Elmer Moller

Denmark

40.45%

Average Odds

1.49 / 2.49

Market probability

62.56% / 37.44%

Why This Prediction?

Jerome Kym is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (68.2% vs 58.1% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1753 vs 1714) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1752 vs 1735).

Player Comparison

1752.8 Elo 1713.8

1751.9 Elo (surface) 1735.4

80 Wins (Challenger) 89

61 Wins (surface) 75

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.980 Dominance ratio 1.235

205 Rank 184

23.5 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jerome Kym

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Elmer Moller

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Elmer Moller

1st Serve In %

62.0%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

32.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.97

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

45.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

37.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.4%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.53

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jerome Kym Elmer Moller

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

29.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.9%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jerome Kym 0 – 0 Elmer Moller

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-08

SF

Jerome Kym #205

Elmer Moller #184

6-1 7-6

5 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 6

58 Service Points 76

33 First Serve In 43

27 First Serve Won 26

15 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Jerome Kym vs Elmer Moller — Prediction