ATP tennis predict — Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

ATP Hard Chengdu · QF 04:00

Predicted probability

Jenson Brooksby

USA

66.21%

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Georgia

33.79%

Average Odds

1.79 / 2.00

Market probability

52.77% / 47.23%

Why This Prediction?

Jenson Brooksby is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1881 vs 1785), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1841 vs 1740) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.30).

Player Comparison

1880.7 Elo 1785.0

1841.0 Elo (surface) 1740.5

96 Wins 250

65 Wins (surface) 145

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 2

0.812 Dominance ratio 0.919

77 Rank 145

25.9 Age 34.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Nikoloz Basilashvili

1st Serve In %

60.3%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.3%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

26.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.3%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

51.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Nikoloz Basilashvili

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

32.7%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

59.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jenson Brooksby 1 – 2 Nikoloz Basilashvili

Hard Miami Masters · 2022-03-21

R64

Jenson Brooksby #39

Nikoloz Basilashvili #20

6-3 6-1

5 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 47

37 First Serve In 31

31 First Serve Won 19

9 Second Serve Won 4

1 Break Points Saved 0

2 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canada Masters · 2021-08-09

R64

Nikoloz Basilashvili #43

Jenson Brooksby #97

2-6 6-0 6-4

7 Aces 2

9 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 76

40 First Serve In 50

26 First Serve Won 32

23 Second Serve Won 8

13 Break Points Saved 5

17 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard US Open · 2019-08-26

R64

Nikoloz Basilashvili #18

Jenson Brooksby #394

3-6 7-6(3) 7-5 6-2

5 Aces 8

15 Double Faults 5

131 Service Points 148

66 First Serve In 86

44 First Serve Won 57

33 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 12

10 Break Points Faced 21

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jenson Brooksby vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Jenson Brooksby — Last 10

Nikoloz Basilashvili — Last 10