ATP tennis predict — Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego

ATP Hard Chengdu · R16 07:15

Predicted probability

Jenson Brooksby

USA

49.89%

Lorenzo Sonego

Italy

50.11%

Average Odds

1.84 / 1.95

Market probability

51.45% / 48.55%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1866.6 Elo 1865.2

1823.7 Elo (surface) 1843.9

95 Wins 217

64 Wins (surface) 113

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.812 Dominance ratio 1.006

77 Rank 86

25.9 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Lorenzo Sonego

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Lorenzo Sonego

1st Serve In %

60.0%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

59.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

48.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Lorenzo Sonego

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jenson Brooksby and Lorenzo Sonego have never played each other.

Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego — Prediction