ATP tennis predict — Jenson Brooksby vs Edward Winter

ATP Hard Los Cabos · R16

Predicted probability

Jenson Brooksby

USA

65.57%

Edward Winter

Australia

34.43%

Average Odds

1.14 / 5.55

Market probability

82.96% / 17.04%

Why This Prediction?

Jenson Brooksby is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1836 vs 1611), a higher Elo rating (1724 vs 1583) and fewer double faults per game (0.07 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1724.0 Elo 1583.2

1836.5 Elo (surface) 1610.9

91 Wins 4

60 Wins (surface) 4

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.977 Dominance ratio 0.747

77 Rank 391

25.8 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Edward Winter

1st Serve In %

60.0%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Edward Winter

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jenson Brooksby 0 – 0 Edward Winter

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-30

R16

Jenson Brooksby #77

Edward Winter #391

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

78 Service Points 47

51 First Serve In 30

32 First Serve Won 25

9 Second Serve Won 10

6 Break Points Saved 2

10 Break Points Faced 3

11 Winners 25

25 Unforced Errors 22

1.1 Average Odds 5.5

Jenson Brooksby vs Edward Winter — Prediction