ATP tennis predict — Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Jenson Brooksby

USA

30.59%

Ben Shelton

USA

69.41%

Average Odds

3.39 / 1.32

Market probability

28.03% / 71.97%

Why This Prediction?

Ben Shelton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1885 vs 1731), a stronger serve (70.2% vs 60.8% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (42 vs 28).

Player Comparison

1731.0 Elo 1885.4

1833.2 Elo (surface) 1788.1

93 Wins 139

62 Wins (surface) 95

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.911 Dominance ratio 1.025

74 Rank 10

25.8 Age 23.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Ben Shelton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–1L · 91.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Ben Shelton

1st Serve In %

60.0%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.2%

75.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

57.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.2%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.8%

56.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.21

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jenson Brooksby Ben Shelton

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

27.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

74.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jenson Brooksby 0 – 0 Ben Shelton

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-05

2. round

Ben Shelton #10

Jenson Brooksby #74

6-3 7-5

1 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 61

44 First Serve In 40

27 First Serve Won 30

14 Second Serve Won 13

6 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

16 Winners 12

31 Unforced Errors 30

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Jenson Brooksby vs Ben Shelton — Prediction