ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Yuta Kikuchi

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · 1. round 09:45

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

79.91%

Yuta Kikuchi

Japan

20.09%

Average Odds

1.07 / 7.59

Market probability

87.64% / 12.36%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1767 vs 1506), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1739 vs 1502) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1767.1 Elo 1506.5

1739.0 Elo (surface) 1501.8

32 Wins (Challenger) 13

32 Wins (surface) 13

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.944

260 Rank 956

22.8 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yuta Kikuchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Yuta Kikuchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Yuta Kikuchi

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Yuta Kikuchi have never played each other.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Yuta Kikuchi — Prediction