ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Ryan Seggerman

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · QF 07:25

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

61.16%

Ryan Seggerman

USA

38.84%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.42

Market probability

61.42% / 38.58%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1767 vs 1584), a higher Elo rating (1792 vs 1648) and a stronger return game (37.4% vs 31.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1791.7 Elo 1648.0

1767.4 Elo (surface) 1584.4

34 Wins (Challenger) 56

34 Wins (surface) 32

10 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 1.022

260 Rank 620

22.8 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Ryan Seggerman

1st Serve In %

—

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.1%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

55.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

17.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

33.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

1.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Ryan Seggerman

Break Points Saved %

—

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.2%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Ryan Seggerman have never played each other.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Ryan Seggerman — Prediction