ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

66.26%

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Malaysia

33.74%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.15

Market probability

70.47% / 29.53%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1776 vs 1637), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1749 vs 1649) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 56.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1776.3 Elo 1636.7

1749.3 Elo (surface) 1649.5

33 Wins (Challenger) 42

33 Wins (surface) 42

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.756

260 Rank 424

22.8 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

69.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.1%

55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.3%

54.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

24.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

47.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.9%

52.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

61.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong have never played each other.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong — Prediction