ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Michele Ribecai

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 09:00

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

66.11%

Michele Ribecai

Italy

33.89%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.55

Market probability

63.43% / 36.57%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1674 vs 1553), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1661 vs 1595) and a stronger serve (64.2% vs 58.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1674.1 Elo 1552.7

1661.5 Elo (surface) 1594.5

28 Wins (Challenger) 28

28 Wins (surface) 17

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.009 Dominance ratio 0.996

312 Rank 264

22.7 Age 23.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michele Ribecai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Michele Ribecai

1st Serve In %

—

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

39.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

66.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

40.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

51.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Michele Ribecai

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

45.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend 0 – 0 Michele Ribecai

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #312

Michele Ribecai #264

2-6 6-4 6-4

8 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

88 Service Points 81

54 First Serve In 50

35 First Serve Won 33

14 Second Serve Won 9

5 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Michele Ribecai — Prediction