ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Max Basing

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · F 14:00

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

60.49%

Max Basing

Great Britain

39.51%

Average Odds

1.72 / 2.04

Market probability

54.26% / 45.74%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1770 vs 1695), a higher Elo rating (1798 vs 1717) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 60.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1798.3 Elo 1717.1

1769.9 Elo (surface) 1694.8

32 Wins (Challenger) 26

32 Wins (surface) 23

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.984

312 Rank 259

22.7 Age 24.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Max Basing

1st Serve In %

—

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

54.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Max Basing

Break Points Saved %

—

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend 0 – 0 Max Basing

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-13

F

Max Basing #259

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #312

6-3 1-6 6-0

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 30

8 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.7

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Max Basing — Prediction