ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Keisuke Saitoh

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · SF 05:05

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

75.93%

Keisuke Saitoh

Japan

24.07%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.35

Market probability

78.52% / 21.48%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1807 vs 1547), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1780 vs 1548) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 58.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1806.8 Elo 1547.5

1780.3 Elo (surface) 1547.5

35 Wins (Challenger) 12

35 Wins (surface) 11

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.032 Dominance ratio 0.735

260 Rank 550

22.8 Age 25.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Keisuke Saitoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-09-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Keisuke Saitoh

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

62.2%

69.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

62.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

56.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%

55.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Keisuke Saitoh

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.0%

60.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend and Keisuke Saitoh have never played each other.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Keisuke Saitoh — Prediction