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Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Inaki Montes De La Torre — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.67  /  2.08

Market probability

55.47%  /  44.53%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1711.8 Elo 1633.6
1711.7 Elo (surface) 1644.0
27 Wins (Challenger) 74
27 Wins (surface) 46
10 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.111 Dominance ratio 1.150
314 Rank 280
22.7 Age 23.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Inaki Montes De La Torre

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–2L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-23.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Inaki Montes De La Torre

1st Serve In %

58.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.53

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%
61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%
51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%
36.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%
51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.39
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Inaki Montes De La Torre

Break Points Saved %

56.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%
44.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%
36.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend 00 Inaki Montes De La Torre

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-26
0 Aces 2
4 Double Faults 1
68 Service Points 72
44 First Serve In 33
29 First Serve Won 22
10 Second Serve Won 28
3 Break Points Saved 7
6 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Last 10

L W W W W L W L W L

Inaki Montes De La Torre — Last 10

L L W W W W L W W W