ATP tennis predict — Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Benjamin Bonzi

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

54.26%

Benjamin Bonzi

France

45.74%

Average Odds

2.44 / 1.51

Market probability

38.23% / 61.77%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1694.4 Elo 1797.0

1716.7 Elo (surface) 1535.7

24 Wins (Challenger) 197

24 Wins (surface) 139

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.876 Dominance ratio 1.006

376 Rank 101

22.6 Age 30.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Benjamin Bonzi

1st Serve In %

—

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend Benjamin Bonzi

Break Points Saved %

—

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.3%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.1%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Dylan Hara Friend 0 – 0 Benjamin Bonzi

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #376

Benjamin Bonzi #101

5-7 7-6 7-5

20 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 4

126 Service Points 130

64 First Serve In 85

50 First Serve Won 63

34 Second Serve Won 25

8 Break Points Saved 11

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Benjamin Bonzi — Prediction