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Jay Clarke vs Petr Brunclik — Prediction

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · R16 10:00

Predicted probability

Jay Clarke

Great Britain

51.21%

Petr Brunclik

Czech Republic

48.79%

Average Odds

1.73  /  2.03

Market probability

53.99%  /  46.01%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1651.7 Elo 1606.8
1640.4 Elo (surface) 1534.3
160 Wins (Challenger) 42
58 Wins (surface) 18
9 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.902 Dominance ratio 1.125
232 Rank 366
28.1 Age 20.2
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Clarke

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Petr Brunclik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Clarke Petr Brunclik

1st Serve In %

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%
71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%
50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%
31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Clarke Petr Brunclik

Break Points Saved %

63.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%
65.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%
45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Clarke 00 Petr Brunclik

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-16
6-1 7-5
6 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 5
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
31 First Serve Won 14
7 Second Serve Won 15
4 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.0

Jay Clarke — Last 10

W L W W W L W W W L

Petr Brunclik — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L W