ATP tennis predict — Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekh

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Jay Clarke

Great Britain

40.61%

Clement Chidekh

France

59.39%

Average Odds

2.34 / 1.50

Market probability

39.06% / 60.94%

Why This Prediction?

Clement Chidekh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1660 vs 1557) and a higher Elo rating (1602 vs 1565).

Player Comparison

1564.7 Elo 1601.6

1556.6 Elo (surface) 1659.8

156 Wins (Challenger) 80

94 Wins (surface) 68

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.976 Dominance ratio 0.956

241 Rank 205

28.1 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jay Clarke

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Clement Chidekh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Clarke Clement Chidekh

1st Serve In %

57.7%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.6%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

31.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.3%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jay Clarke Clement Chidekh

Break Points Saved %

63.7%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.4%

56.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

39.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jay Clarke 0 – 0 Clement Chidekh

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Clement Chidekh #205

Jay Clarke #241

6-3 4-6 6-4

4 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 4

76 Service Points 88

46 First Serve In 56

30 First Serve Won 40

16 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.3

Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekh — Prediction