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Javier Barranco Cosano vs Ryan Nijboer — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Ryan Nijboer

Netherlands

41.84%

Average Odds

1.97  /  1.76

Market probability

47.18%  /  52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Javier Barranco Cosano is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (46.4% vs 36.7% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1619 vs 1593) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1618.5 Elo 1592.6
1602.6 Elo (surface) 1614.5
125 Wins (Challenger) 54
100 Wins (surface) 50
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.023 Dominance ratio 0.861
577 Rank 417
27.9 Age 27.2
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Ryan Nijboer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Javier Barranco Cosano Ryan Nijboer

1st Serve In %

64.4%
60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%
64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%
23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.25
0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%
59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%
70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.0%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.7%
29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.1%
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Javier Barranco Cosano Ryan Nijboer

Break Points Saved %

61.5%
68.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%
47.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.7%
68.1%

Break Points Converted %

46.8%
46.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Javier Barranco Cosano and Ryan Nijboer have never played each other.

Javier Barranco Cosano — Last 10

L W W L W L W W W L

Ryan Nijboer — Last 10

L W W W L L W L W L