ATP tennis predict — Javier Barranco Cosano vs John Sperle

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Javier Barranco Cosano

Spain

72.11%

John Sperle

Germany

27.89%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.27

Market probability

58.96% / 41.04%

Why This Prediction?

Javier Barranco Cosano is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1619 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating (1636 vs 1469) and more wins on clay courts (98 vs 13).

Player Comparison

1636.3 Elo 1469.2

1619.0 Elo (surface) 1474.9

123 Wins (Challenger) 15

98 Wins (surface) 13

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.023 Dominance ratio 1.012

587 Rank 692

27.8 Age 24.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

John Sperle

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-06-21.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Javier Barranco Cosano John Sperle

1st Serve In %

64.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

63.5%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.25

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.3%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.8%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.5%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Javier Barranco Cosano John Sperle

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

53.3%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Javier Barranco Cosano 0 – 0 John Sperle

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

John Sperle #692

Javier Barranco Cosano #587

7-6 1-2

2 Aces 1

8 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 22

10 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Javier Barranco Cosano vs John Sperle — Prediction