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Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron — Prediction

ATP Hard Tokyo · qualification - round of 16 08:05

Predicted probability

Jaume Munar

Spain

57.96%

Marcos Giron

USA

42.04%

Average Odds

1.54  /  2.40

Market probability

60.91%  /  39.09%

Why This Prediction?

Jaume Munar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1838), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1874 vs 1797) and a better head-to-head record against Marcos Giron (2-1).

Player Comparison

1910.0 Elo 1837.7
1873.7 Elo (surface) 1797.3
171 Wins 197
69 Wins (surface) 140
6 Last 15 form 6
2 Head-to-head wins 1
1.044 Dominance ratio 1.117
64 Rank 85
29.4 Age 33.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaume Munar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Marcos Giron

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Marcos Giron

1st Serve In %

60.6%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%
73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
52.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%
29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%
60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%
70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.1%
32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.10

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Marcos Giron

Break Points Saved %

58.7%
61.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%
37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%
49.1%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%
45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaume Munar 2 – 1 Marcos Giron

Hard Washington · 2025-07-21
7-5 6-3
2 Aces 2
5 Double Faults 2
67 Service Points 67
36 First Serve In 35
26 First Serve Won 24
22 Second Serve Won 17
8 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Aix En Provence CH · 2024-04-29
6-1 6-3
2 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 0
39 Service Points 65
24 First Serve In 44
19 First Serve Won 23
10 Second Serve Won 6
0 Break Points Saved 3
1 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Sofia · 2021-09-27
6-7(2) 6-1 6-4
4 Aces 6
2 Double Faults 7
116 Service Points 100
74 First Serve In 56
54 First Serve Won 43
23 Second Serve Won 20
5 Break Points Saved 3
5 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Jaume Munar — Last 10

L W W W L W L W L L

Marcos Giron — Last 10

L L L L W L W W L W