ATP tennis predict — Jaume Munar vs Facundo Diaz Acosta

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · SF 19:00

Predicted probability

Jaume Munar

Spain

44.73%

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Argentina

55.27%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.83

Market probability

49.19% / 50.81%

Why This Prediction?

Facundo Diaz Acosta is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1909 vs 1831), a stronger serve (65.8% vs 62.0% of service points won) and fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.13).

Player Comparison

1920.6 Elo 1885.0

1830.5 Elo (surface) 1908.9

154 Wins (Challenger) 157

133 Wins (surface) 148

12 Last 15 form 14

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.137 Dominance ratio 1.298

55 Rank 82

29.4 Age 25.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaume Munar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Facundo Diaz Acosta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Facundo Diaz Acosta

1st Serve In %

60.6%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

69.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

62.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.1%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Facundo Diaz Acosta

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

57.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

76.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

48.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaume Munar 1 – 0 Facundo Diaz Acosta

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-12

SF

Facundo Diaz Acosta #82

Jaume Munar #55

4-6 6-3 7-6

5 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

45 First Serve Won 49

13 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 4

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Clay Buenos Aires · 2021-03-01

R32

Jaume Munar #106

Facundo Diaz Acosta #397

7-6(5) 6-3

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 7

76 Service Points 67

59 First Serve In 30

37 First Serve Won 18

6 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jaume Munar vs Facundo Diaz Acosta — Prediction