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Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech — Prediction

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Jaume Munar

Spain

57.66%

Arthur Rinderknech

France

42.34%

Average Odds

2.40  /  1.57

Market probability

39.55%  /  60.45%

Why This Prediction?

Jaume Munar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1783 vs 1745), a higher Elo rating (1766 vs 1722) and a stronger return game (42.2% vs 33.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1765.5 Elo 1721.9
1782.8 Elo (surface) 1745.3
171 Wins 152
69 Wins (surface) 88
7 Last 15 form 7
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.107 Dominance ratio 0.902
55 Rank 29
29.3 Age 31.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaume Munar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Arthur Rinderknech

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Arthur Rinderknech

1st Serve In %

60.6%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%
75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%
47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%
22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%
46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.63
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%
78.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.1%
25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%
46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Arthur Rinderknech

Break Points Saved %

58.7%
59.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%
35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%
73.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%
28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaume Munar 11 Arthur Rinderknech

Hard US Open · 2026-09-02
7-6 6-2 7-5
3 Aces 22
5 Double Faults 6
107 Service Points 123
59 First Serve In 67
38 First Serve Won 57
23 Second Serve Won 21
3 Break Points Saved 5
9 Break Points Faced 8
25 Winners 66
15 Unforced Errors 33
1.6 Average Odds 2.4
Hard Miami Masters · 2025-03-19
6-3 7-6(5)
3 Aces 13
2 Double Faults 3
71 Service Points 75
43 First Serve In 51
34 First Serve Won 36
14 Second Serve Won 11
0 Break Points Saved 4
0 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Metz · 2022-09-19
6-2 2-6 7-5
11 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 2
88 Service Points 76
62 First Serve In 55
42 First Serve Won 41
14 Second Serve Won 7
4 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Jaume Munar — Last 10

L W W W L W L W L L

Arthur Rinderknech — Last 10

L W W L L W W L L W