ATP tennis predict — Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

ATP Hard Tokyo · qualification - quarterfinal 05:00

Predicted probability

Jaume Munar

Spain

62.21%

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

37.79%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.31

Market probability

59.54% / 40.46%

Why This Prediction?

Jaume Munar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1910 vs 1794), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1874 vs 1773) and a stronger return game (43.3% vs 34.3% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1910.0 Elo 1793.5

1873.7 Elo (surface) 1773.1

171 Wins 84

69 Wins (surface) 64

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.044 Dominance ratio 0.864

64 Rank 79

29.4 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaume Munar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Aleksandar Kovacevic

1st Serve In %

60.6%

55.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

77.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.4%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.5%

20.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

72.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

42.1%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaume Munar Aleksandar Kovacevic

Break Points Saved %

58.7%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

28.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaume Munar 0 – 1 Aleksandar Kovacevic

Hard Miami Masters · 2023-03-20

R128

Aleksandar Kovacevic #102

Jaume Munar #66

7-6(4) 2-6 6-1

8 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

94 Service Points 71

53 First Serve In 49

42 First Serve Won 35

24 Second Serve Won 14

4 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jaume Munar vs Aleksandar Kovacevic — Prediction