← Back to Predictions

Jaroslav Vrba vs Daniel Siniakov — Prediction

Challenger Clay Catania challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:00

Predicted probability

Jaroslav Vrba

Czech Republic

13.65%

Daniel Siniakov

Czech Republic

86.35%

Average Odds

3.30  /  1.30

Market probability

28.26%  /  71.74%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Siniakov is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1440 vs 1429), better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more career match wins (10 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1437.5 Elo 1436.0
1428.9 Elo (surface) 1440.4
0 Wins (Challenger) 10
0 Wins (surface) 10
0 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.093 Dominance ratio 1.093
1111 Rank 519
None Age 23.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaroslav Vrba

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Daniel Siniakov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaroslav Vrba Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

—
64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
51.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaroslav Vrba Daniel Siniakov

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

—
50.7%

Break Points Converted %

—
38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaroslav Vrba and Daniel Siniakov have never played each other.

Jaroslav Vrba — Last 0

No recent matches found.

Daniel Siniakov — Last 10

L W L W W L L L L L