ATP tennis predict — Jan Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

ATP Hard Beijing · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Jan Lennard Struff

Germany

35.29%

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Argentina

64.71%

Average Odds

2.30 / 1.60

Market probability

41.03% / 58.97%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Agustin Tirante is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1840 vs 1757), a higher Elo rating (1946 vs 1888) and a stronger serve (69.1% vs 64.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1887.7 Elo 1946.1

1757.1 Elo (surface) 1840.2

330 Wins 67

176 Wins (surface) 30

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.016 Dominance ratio 1.152

59 Rank 52

36.4 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Lennard Struff

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Thiago Agustin Tirante

1st Serve In %

57.9%

55.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.5%

76.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

57.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

74.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Thiago Agustin Tirante

Break Points Saved %

56.3%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

36.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

54.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Lennard Struff and Thiago Agustin Tirante have never played each other.

Jan Lennard Struff vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Prediction