ATP tennis predict — Jan Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 17:10

Predicted probability

Jan Lennard Struff

Germany

32.47%

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

67.53%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.60

Market probability

40.71% / 59.29%

Why This Prediction?

Francisco Cerundolo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1873 vs 1723), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1734 vs 1664) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1723.0 Elo 1872.6

1663.7 Elo (surface) 1734.4

330 Wins 188

176 Wins (surface) 66

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.011 Dominance ratio 0.840

44 Rank 25

36.4 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Lennard Struff

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Francisco Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

57.9%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.5%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

69.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Francisco Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

56.3%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Lennard Struff 0 – 1 Francisco Cerundolo

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Francisco Cerundolo #25

Jan Lennard Struff #44

5-7 7-5 4-6 6-2 6-3

14 Aces 19

16 Double Faults 13

169 Service Points 152

83 First Serve In 81

64 First Serve Won 60

38 Second Serve Won 39

11 Break Points Saved 7

18 Break Points Faced 11

44 Winners 51

53 Unforced Errors 39

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Clay Munich · 2025-04-14

R32

Francisco Cerundolo #22

Jan Lennard Struff #51

6-0 6-2

3 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 0

38 Service Points 43

18 First Serve In 22

17 First Serve Won 12

12 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jan Lennard Struff vs Francisco Cerundolo — Prediction