ATP tennis predict — Jan Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Jan Lennard Struff

Germany

38.89%

Alejandro Tabilo

Chile

61.11%

Average Odds

2.68 / 1.47

Market probability

35.42% / 64.58%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Tabilo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1791 vs 1719), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1751 vs 1662) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 38.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1719.3 Elo 1791.4

1662.3 Elo (surface) 1751.1

329 Wins 134

175 Wins (surface) 64

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.052 Dominance ratio 0.878

41 Rank 26

36.3 Age 29.2

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Lennard Struff

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alejandro Tabilo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo

1st Serve In %

57.9%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.5%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.7%

20.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.2%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

76.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Lennard Struff Alejandro Tabilo

Break Points Saved %

56.3%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

32.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.4%

73.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

43.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Lennard Struff 0 – 0 Alejandro Tabilo

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Alejandro Tabilo #26

Jan Lennard Struff #41

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 56

32 First Serve In 37

20 First Serve Won 30

17 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 0

3 Break Points Faced 0

15 Winners 20

29 Unforced Errors 22

1.5 Average Odds 2.7

Jan Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo — Prediction