ATP tennis predict — Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Jan Kumstat

Czech Republic

43.08%

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Brazil

56.92%

Average Odds

2.53 / 1.48

Market probability

36.91% / 63.09%

Why This Prediction?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (143 vs 11), a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1680) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1753 vs 1706).

Player Comparison

1680.3 Elo 1731.8

1706.2 Elo (surface) 1752.8

14 Wins (Challenger) 156

11 Wins (surface) 143

10 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.931 Dominance ratio 1.060

508 Rank 206

19.6 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Kumstat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–1L · 93.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Thiago Seyboth Wild

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Thiago Seyboth Wild

1st Serve In %

—

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

42.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Thiago Seyboth Wild

Break Points Saved %

—

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%

29.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Kumstat 0 – 0 Thiago Seyboth Wild

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Jan Kumstat #508

Thiago Seyboth Wild #206

6-4 6-2

11 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 0

46 Service Points 50

25 First Serve In 32

21 First Serve Won 22

15 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.5 Average Odds 1.5

Jan Kumstat vs Thiago Seyboth Wild — Prediction