ATP tennis predict — Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Jan Kumstat

Czech Republic

41.77%

Florian Broska

Germany

58.23%

Average Odds

1.83 / 1.89

Market probability

50.81% / 49.19%

Why This Prediction?

Florian Broska is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1765 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating (1738 vs 1612) and a stronger serve (65.4% vs 63.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1612.4 Elo 1737.7

1629.6 Elo (surface) 1765.2

11 Wins (Challenger) 26

8 Wins (surface) 13

10 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.029 Dominance ratio 1.174

612 Rank 292

19.5 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Kumstat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–1L · 93.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Florian Broska

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Florian Broska

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

60.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Florian Broska

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Kumstat 0 – 0 Florian Broska

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Jan Kumstat #612

Florian Broska #292

6-7 6-4 6-4

16 Aces 12

2 Double Faults 1

93 Service Points 95

54 First Serve In 59

44 First Serve Won 47

25 Second Serve Won 20

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broska — Prediction