ATP tennis predict — Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas

Challenger Hard Olbia challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Jan Kumstat

Czech Republic

50.03%

Edas Butvilas

Lithuania

49.97%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.67

Market probability

44.53% / 55.47%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1910.5 Elo 1729.9

1587.3 Elo (surface) 1734.0

30 Wins (Challenger) 92

5 Wins (surface) 71

14 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.906 Dominance ratio 0.881

191 Rank 199

19.8 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jan Kumstat

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 15W–1L · 93.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Edas Butvilas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–8L · 46.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Edas Butvilas

1st Serve In %

—

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.9%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%

41.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.5%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jan Kumstat Edas Butvilas

Break Points Saved %

—

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

28.3%

43.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jan Kumstat and Edas Butvilas have never played each other.

Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas — Prediction