ATP tennis predict — James Watt vs Ugo Blanchet

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · qualification - quarterfinal 17:00

Predicted probability

James Watt

New Zealand

43.24%

Ugo Blanchet

France

56.76%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.52

Market probability

38.87% / 61.13%

Why This Prediction?

Ugo Blanchet is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1644 vs 1583), more wins on hard courts (40 vs 13) and a stronger return game (36.0% vs 31.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1588.1 Elo 1592.3

1582.9 Elo (surface) 1644.1

23 Wins (Challenger) 75

13 Wins (surface) 40

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.926 Dominance ratio 0.987

889 Rank 192

26.2 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Watt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Ugo Blanchet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Watt Ugo Blanchet

1st Serve In %

75.0%

52.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.7%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.2%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.4%

60.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.4%

28.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Watt Ugo Blanchet

Break Points Saved %

76.9%

61.7%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

37.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.6%

36.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Watt 0 – 0 Ugo Blanchet

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - quarterfinal

Ugo Blanchet #192

James Watt #889

6-7 6-2 7-5

8 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 5

101 Service Points 92

80 First Serve In 52

52 First Serve Won 38

12 Second Serve Won 31

9 Break Points Saved 3

13 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

James Watt vs Ugo Blanchet — Prediction