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James Trotter vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Prediction

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · R16 05:10

Predicted probability

James Trotter

Japan

43.72%

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

56.28%

Average Odds

2.39  /  1.53

Market probability

39.03%  /  60.97%

Why This Prediction?

Yu Hsiou Hsu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1632 vs 1579), a higher Elo rating (1598 vs 1558) and a stronger serve (68.8% vs 67.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1558.5 Elo 1598.2
1578.7 Elo (surface) 1631.8
97 Wins (Challenger) 96
92 Wins (surface) 87
8 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.163 Dominance ratio 1.241
464 Rank 268
27.1 Age 27.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Trotter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Yu Hsiou Hsu

1st Serve In %

60.4%
68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65
0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%
66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%
30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%
51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.59
0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Yu Hsiou Hsu

Break Points Saved %

52.4%
53.2%

Break Points Converted %

26.6%
40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
61.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Trotter 11 Yu Hsiou Hsu

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-02
6-4 7-5
13 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 0
81 Service Points 69
45 First Serve In 49
29 First Serve Won 30
19 Second Serve Won 11
3 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.5
Hard Busan CH · 2025-04-14
6-3 6-3
2 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 2
56 Service Points 72
30 First Serve In 44
21 First Serve Won 26
18 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 10
5 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Yokkaichi CH · 2023-11-27
7-6(5) 6-2
6 Aces 1
4 Double Faults 3
76 Service Points 68
41 First Serve In 40
36 First Serve Won 31
14 Second Serve Won 11
3 Break Points Saved 2
4 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

James Trotter — Last 10

L W W W L L W W L W

Yu Hsiou Hsu — Last 10

L L W L L L W W L L