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James Trotter vs Tyler Zink — Prediction

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

James Trotter

Japan

52.31%

Tyler Zink

USA

47.69%

Average Odds

2.04  /  1.72

Market probability

45.74%  /  54.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1557.7 Elo 1575.2
1579.5 Elo (surface) 1583.6
96 Wins (Challenger) 43
91 Wins (surface) 30
7 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.188 Dominance ratio 0.944
442 Rank 343
27.0 Age 25.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Trotter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Tyler Zink

1st Serve In %

60.4%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%
29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%
40.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65
0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%
74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%
28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%
41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.59
0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Tyler Zink

Break Points Saved %

52.4%
60.6%

Break Points Converted %

26.6%
25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
72.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%
38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Trotter 00 Tyler Zink

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

1. round

Tyler Zink #343

James Trotter #442

3-6 6-1 6-3
6 Aces 7
5 Double Faults 1
89 Service Points 67
43 First Serve In 40
30 First Serve Won 30
22 Second Serve Won 16
9 Break Points Saved 0
13 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.0

James Trotter — Last 10

L W W W L L W W L W

Tyler Zink — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W