ATP tennis predict — James Trotter vs Thomas Fancutt

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

James Trotter

Japan

76.69%

Thomas Fancutt

Australia

23.31%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.05

Market probability

69.95% / 30.05%

Why This Prediction?

James Trotter is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1480), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1587 vs 1471) and a stronger serve (65.7% vs 61.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1606.0 Elo 1479.6

1587.3 Elo (surface) 1471.1

99 Wins (Challenger) 45

94 Wins (surface) 39

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.101 Dominance ratio 0.795

464 Rank 712

27.1 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Trotter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Thomas Fancutt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Thomas Fancutt

1st Serve In %

60.4%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

17.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

43.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

17.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

42.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Thomas Fancutt

Break Points Saved %

52.4%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

26.6%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

61.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

21.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Trotter 0 – 0 Thomas Fancutt

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

James Trotter #439

Thomas Fancutt #699

6-3 6-2

8 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

24 First Serve Won 21

13 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 6

0 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

James Trotter vs Thomas Fancutt — Prediction