ATP tennis predict — James Trotter vs Mikael Arseneault

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

James Trotter

Japan

55.20%

Mikael Arseneault

Canada

44.80%

Average Odds

1.37 / 2.93

Market probability

68.14% / 31.86%

Why This Prediction?

James Trotter is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (89 vs 6), better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and a stronger serve (67.2% vs 60.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1528.5 Elo 1512.8

1549.8 Elo (surface) 1538.9

94 Wins (Challenger) 6

89 Wins (surface) 6

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.298 Dominance ratio 1.015

442 Rank 1006

27.0 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Trotter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-07-15.

Mikael Arseneault

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Mikael Arseneault

1st Serve In %

60.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.65

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.4%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Trotter Mikael Arseneault

Break Points Saved %

52.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

26.6%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

42.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Trotter 0 – 0 Mikael Arseneault

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

James Trotter #442

Mikael Arseneault #1006

6-7 6-3 6-3

1 Aces 3

5 Double Faults 3

105 Service Points 96

55 First Serve In 56

35 First Serve Won 42

32 Second Serve Won 28

7 Break Points Saved 7

10 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

James Trotter vs Mikael Arseneault — Prediction