ATP tennis predict — James Mccabe vs Masamichi Imamura

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

James Mccabe

Australia

71.12%

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

28.88%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.35

Market probability

60.26% / 39.74%

Why This Prediction?

James Mccabe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1648 vs 1520), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1669 vs 1548) and a stronger serve (64.4% vs 57.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1648.1 Elo 1520.3

1669.3 Elo (surface) 1548.1

101 Wins (Challenger) 45

90 Wins (surface) 45

7 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.866 Dominance ratio 0.856

242 Rank 420

23.0 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Mccabe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Mccabe Masamichi Imamura

1st Serve In %

65.3%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Mccabe Masamichi Imamura

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

—

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Mccabe 1 – 0 Masamichi Imamura

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-15

1. round

James Mccabe #242

Masamichi Imamura #420

6-4 7-6

0 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 0

72 Service Points 73

43 First Serve In 45

29 First Serve Won 33

18 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Taipei CH · 2025-11-03

QF

James Mccabe #195

Masamichi Imamura #569

6-4 1-6 6-3

9 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 3

78 Service Points 82

46 First Serve In 53

27 First Serve Won 31

20 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

James Mccabe vs Masamichi Imamura — Prediction