ATP tennis predict — James Mccabe vs Alex Bolt

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

James Mccabe

Australia

67.95%

Alex Bolt

Australia

32.05%

Average Odds

1.90 / 1.84

Market probability

49.20% / 50.80%

Why This Prediction?

James Mccabe is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1574) and a higher Elo rating (1627 vs 1593).

Player Comparison

1626.9 Elo 1593.1

1642.5 Elo (surface) 1573.6

16 Wins 78

7 Wins (surface) 40

6 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.780 Dominance ratio 0.870

240 Rank 167

23.1 Age 33.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Mccabe

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Alex Bolt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Mccabe Alex Bolt

1st Serve In %

65.3%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.4%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

39.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.0%

56.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.9%

42.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Mccabe Alex Bolt

Break Points Saved %

66.0%

68.3%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

30.6%

44.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Mccabe 1 – 1 Alex Bolt

Hard Washington · 2026-07-25

qualification - 1. round

Alex Bolt #167

James Mccabe #240

7-6 7-6

6 Aces 8

6 Double Faults 2

91 Service Points 71

49 First Serve In 44

36 First Serve Won 36

21 Second Serve Won 18

3 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Busan CH · 2026-04-13

R32

Alex Bolt #154

James Mccabe #235

7-5 7-6(2)

12 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 2

79 Service Points 73

46 First Serve In 51

37 First Serve Won 38

21 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Sydney CH · 2022-10-31

R16

James Mccabe #426

Alex Bolt #746

6-4 7-6(3)

9 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 4

80 Service Points 77

58 First Serve In 50

44 First Serve Won 35

7 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

James Mccabe vs Alex Bolt — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

James Mccabe — Last 10

Alex Bolt — Last 10