ATP tennis predict — James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 20:30

Predicted probability

James Duckworth

Australia

43.93%

Yibing Wu

China

56.07%

Average Odds

2.26 / 1.64

Market probability

42.05% / 57.95%

Why This Prediction?

Yibing Wu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1736 vs 1706) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1706.5 Elo 1736.2

1717.4 Elo (surface) 1643.4

174 Wins 53

118 Wins (surface) 45

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.031 Dominance ratio 1.005

71 Rank 113

34.6 Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Yibing Wu

1st Serve In %

55.7%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.1%

55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Yibing Wu

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

84.6%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Duckworth 0 – 0 Yibing Wu

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Yibing Wu #113

James Duckworth #71

7-5 6-3 6-1

9 Aces 12

8 Double Faults 1

104 Service Points 73

49 First Serve In 50

33 First Serve Won 39

23 Second Serve Won 18

9 Break Points Saved 0

14 Break Points Faced 0

15 Winners 36

37 Unforced Errors 12

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu — Prediction