ATP tennis predict — James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 2. round 23:00

Predicted probability

James Duckworth

Australia

58.66%

Mariano Navone

Argentina

41.34%

Average Odds

2.32 / 1.56

Market probability

40.21% / 59.79%

Why This Prediction?

James Duckworth is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1699 vs 1516), more wins on hard courts (233 vs 5) and a stronger serve (68.7% vs 61.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1669.9 Elo 1781.3

1698.7 Elo (surface) 1515.6

170 Wins 65

114 Wins (surface) 13

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 0.937

79 Rank 48

34.6 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Mariano Navone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Mariano Navone

1st Serve In %

55.7%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

54.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

30.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

45.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.1%

70.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

62.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

49.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.05

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Mariano Navone

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

84.6%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

50.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Duckworth 0 – 0 Mariano Navone

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25

2. round

James Duckworth #79

Mariano Navone #48

6-3 7-6

4 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 4

82 Service Points 69

36 First Serve In 47

28 First Serve Won 29

24 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

15 Winners 7

56 Unforced Errors 36

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

James Duckworth vs Mariano Navone — Prediction