ATP tennis predict — James Duckworth vs Lorenzo Sonego

ATP Hard Chengdu · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

James Duckworth

Australia

45.68%

Lorenzo Sonego

Italy

54.32%

Average Odds

2.17 / 1.67

Market probability

43.49% / 56.51%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1834.0 Elo 1856.2

1783.1 Elo (surface) 1833.3

174 Wins 216

118 Wins (surface) 112

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 2

1.027 Dominance ratio 1.006

65 Rank 86

34.7 Age 31.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Lorenzo Sonego

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Lorenzo Sonego

1st Serve In %

55.7%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

59.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.1%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

54.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Lorenzo Sonego

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

66.1%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

84.6%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Duckworth 1 – 2 Lorenzo Sonego

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-27

R16

James Duckworth #79

Lorenzo Sonego #91

7-5 6-3

10 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 68

37 First Serve In 41

30 First Serve Won 28

10 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 3

10 Winners 8

16 Unforced Errors 15

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Grass Eastbourne · 2022-06-20

R32

Lorenzo Sonego #32

James Duckworth #77

4-6 7-6(5) 7-6(1)

12 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 3

110 Service Points 102

82 First Serve In 60

63 First Serve Won 47

13 Second Serve Won 25

5 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Grass Wimbledon · 2021-06-28

R32

Lorenzo Sonego #27

James Duckworth #91

6-3 6-4 6-4

14 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 1

85 Service Points 75

58 First Serve In 49

49 First Serve Won 32

16 Second Serve Won 18

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 6