ATP tennis predict — James Duckworth vs Fabian Marozsan

ATP Hard Winston Salem · QF 04:30

Predicted probability

James Duckworth

Australia

41.34%

Fabian Marozsan

Hungary

58.66%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.59

Market probability

40.56% / 59.44%

Why This Prediction?

Fabian Marozsan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1745 vs 1691), a stronger return game (42.8% vs 38.5% of return points won) and a stronger serve (68.9% vs 68.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1691.5 Elo 1744.8

1711.0 Elo (surface) 1665.4

172 Wins 88

116 Wins (surface) 51

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.943 Dominance ratio 0.862

79 Rank 63

34.6 Age 26.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Fabian Marozsan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Fabian Marozsan

1st Serve In %

55.7%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

30.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

41.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.42

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.1%

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%

57.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

57.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Fabian Marozsan

Break Points Saved %

64.4%

58.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%

41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

84.6%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Duckworth 0 – 0 Fabian Marozsan

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-28

QF

James Duckworth #79

Fabian Marozsan #63

6-7 6-2 6-4

1 Aces 8

6 Double Faults 8

105 Service Points 103

51 First Serve In 48

30 First Serve Won 37

31 Second Serve Won 27

6 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 8

25 Winners 27

58 Unforced Errors 56

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

James Duckworth vs Fabian Marozsan — Prediction