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James Duckworth vs Aidan Mayo — Prediction

ATP Hard Los Cabos · 1. round

Predicted probability

James Duckworth

Australia

54.11%

Aidan Mayo

USA

45.89%

Average Odds

1.60  /  2.29

Market probability

58.87%  /  41.13%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1652.8 Elo 1565.2
1690.1 Elo (surface) 1561.1
166 Wins 6
110 Wins (surface) 5
4 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.131 Dominance ratio 0.904
83 Rank 689
34.5 Age 23.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

James Duckworth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–6L · 53.8%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Aidan Mayo

1st Serve In %

55.7%
55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%
71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%
47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%
28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%
46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.42
0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

52.1%
60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.9%
71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.9%
53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%
34.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%
54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.60

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

James Duckworth Aidan Mayo

Break Points Saved %

64.4%
61.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.3%
45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

84.6%
69.4%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%
47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

James Duckworth 00 Aidan Mayo

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-29
4-6 6-3 6-4
1 Aces 6
3 Double Faults 5
89 Service Points 95
46 First Serve In 48
34 First Serve Won 38
24 Second Serve Won 25
6 Break Points Saved 4
9 Break Points Faced 6
22 Winners 24
42 Unforced Errors 56
1.6 Average Odds 2.3

James Duckworth — Last 10

L W L W W W W L W L

Aidan Mayo — Last 10

W L L W W W W W L W