ATP tennis predict — Jakub Mensik vs Rinky Hijikata

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 3. round 01:10

Predicted probability

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

72.73%

Rinky Hijikata

Australia

27.27%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.84

Market probability

75.15% / 24.85%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Mensik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1735 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1875 vs 1757) and a stronger serve (68.1% vs 58.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1875.5 Elo 1757.0

1734.5 Elo (surface) 1599.8

104 Wins 93

77 Wins (surface) 68

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.008 Dominance ratio 0.948

16 Rank 95

21.0 Age 25.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Rinky Hijikata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Rinky Hijikata

1st Serve In %

61.8%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

71.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.7%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

51.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Rinky Hijikata

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

54.7%

54.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jakub Mensik 0 – 0 Rinky Hijikata

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-18

3. round

Jakub Mensik #16

Rinky Hijikata #95

6-3 6-4

0 Aces 13

0 Double Faults 3

70 Service Points 68

50 First Serve In 44

26 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 9

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

17 Winners 26

18 Unforced Errors 34

1.3 Average Odds 3.7

Jakub Mensik vs Rinky Hijikata — Prediction