ATP tennis predict — Jakub Mensik vs Brandon Nakashima

ATP Hard Laver Cup · - 15:30

Predicted probability

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

52.53%

Brandon Nakashima

USA

47.47%

Average Odds

1.70 / 2.10

Market probability

55.26% / 44.74%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

2042.3 Elo 2053.2

1993.8 Elo (surface) 1996.4

107 Wins 183

80 Wins (surface) 126

9 Last 15 form 11

2 Head-to-head wins 1

1.043 Dominance ratio 1.107

15 Rank 16

21.1 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–5L · 58.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Brandon Nakashima

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Brandon Nakashima

1st Serve In %

61.8%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.7%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

51.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

54.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Brandon Nakashima

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

73.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

54.7%

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jakub Mensik 2 – 1 Brandon Nakashima

Hard Laver Cup · 2026-09-25

-

Brandon Nakashima #16

Jakub Mensik #15

6-1 3-6 10-7

2 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

17 First Serve Won 22

17 Second Serve Won 16

1 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 2

18 Winners 13

28 Unforced Errors 11

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Hard Washington · 2026-07-30

R16

Brandon Nakashima #33

Jakub Mensik #17

7-6 3-6 6-4

12 Aces 15

4 Double Faults 7

97 Service Points 97

62 First Serve In 55

49 First Serve Won 45

18 Second Serve Won 23

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 3

29 Winners 33

37 Unforced Errors 38

2.3 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Australian Open · 2024-01-15

Q1

Jakub Mensik #142

Brandon Nakashima #127

6-4 7-6(4)

6 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 64

43 First Serve In 45

36 First Serve Won 32

13 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Canberra CH · 2024-01-01

SF

Jakub Mensik #167

Brandon Nakashima #134

7-5 7-5

13 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 73

45 First Serve In 47

34 First Serve Won 33

22 Second Serve Won 13

7 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 4