ATP tennis predict — Jakub Mensik vs Botic Van De Zandschulp

ATP Hard Montreal · R16 02:20

Predicted probability

Jakub Mensik

Czech Republic

67.35%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

32.65%

Average Odds

1.34 / 3.25

Market probability

70.81% / 29.19%

Why This Prediction?

Jakub Mensik is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1872 vs 1751), a stronger serve (66.4% vs 61.4% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.36 vs 0.26).

Player Comparison

1871.8 Elo 1751.1

1715.9 Elo (surface) 1718.4

102 Wins 169

75 Wins (surface) 112

10 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.019 Dominance ratio 0.978

17 Rank 70

20.9 Age 30.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jakub Mensik

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

61.8%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.7%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.3%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.7%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.2%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Mensik Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

62.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

54.7%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jakub Mensik 0 – 0 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-10

R16

Jakub Mensik #17

Botic Van De Zandschulp #70

6-4 7-5

1 Aces 13

2 Double Faults 2

66 Service Points 63

45 First Serve In 42

31 First Serve Won 34

9 Second Serve Won 10

1 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

12 Winners 24

22 Unforced Errors 24

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Jakub Mensik vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction