ATP tennis predict — Jakub Filip vs Nick Hardt

Challenger Clay Prague 2 challenger · 1. round 13:40

Predicted probability

Jakub Filip

Czech Republic

9.94%

Nick Hardt

Dominican Rep.

90.06%

Average Odds

3.83 / 1.23

Market probability

24.31% / 75.69%

Why This Prediction?

Nick Hardt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1631 vs 1378), a higher Elo rating (1608 vs 1387) and more wins on clay courts (63 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1387.3 Elo 1608.0

1378.5 Elo (surface) 1630.6

1 Wins (Challenger) 85

1 Wins (surface) 63

1 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.874 Dominance ratio 1.160

946 Rank 277

20.9 Age 25.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jakub Filip

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-17.

Nick Hardt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Filip Nick Hardt

1st Serve In %

—

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

59.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.6%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

58.3%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.9%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.06

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jakub Filip Nick Hardt

Break Points Saved %

—

42.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jakub Filip 0 – 0 Nick Hardt

Clay Prague 2 challenger · 2026-08-17

1. round

Nick Hardt #277

Jakub Filip #946

6-1 6-2

2 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 3

68 Service Points 56

37 First Serve In 36

17 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 2

11 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Jakub Filip vs Nick Hardt — Prediction