ATP tennis predict — Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Jake Delaney

Australia

54.47%

Hikaru Shiraishi

Japan

45.53%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.19

Market probability

57.33% / 42.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1445.2 Elo 1429.3

1458.7 Elo (surface) 1416.5

30 Wins (Challenger) 17

30 Wins (surface) 17

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.955 Dominance ratio 0.952

351 Rank 538

29.3 Age 26.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jake Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Hikaru Shiraishi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jake Delaney Hikaru Shiraishi

1st Serve In %

65.6%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

—

Aces per Service Game

1.00

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.5%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.5%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jake Delaney Hikaru Shiraishi

Break Points Saved %

65.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

16.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.0%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

32.7%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jake Delaney 0 – 0 Hikaru Shiraishi

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Jake Delaney #351

Hikaru Shiraishi #538

4-6 6-3 6-4

27 Aces 4

9 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

50 First Serve Won 34

14 Second Serve Won 22

9 Break Points Saved 3

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Jake Delaney vs Hikaru Shiraishi — Prediction