ATP tennis predict — Jaime Faria vs Yibing Wu

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Jaime Faria

Portugal

40.14%

Yibing Wu

China

59.86%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.62

Market probability

42.19% / 57.81%

Why This Prediction?

Yibing Wu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1653 vs 1490), more wins on hard courts (43 vs 10) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.21).

Player Comparison

1739.3 Elo 1742.7

1490.1 Elo (surface) 1653.4

40 Wins 51

10 Wins (surface) 43

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 1.090

79 Rank 116

23.0 Age 26.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaime Faria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yibing Wu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Yibing Wu

1st Serve In %

59.6%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

55.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Yibing Wu

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaime Faria 0 – 0 Yibing Wu

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Jaime Faria #79

Yibing Wu #116

6-3 7-5

9 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 3

66 Service Points 65

44 First Serve In 44

31 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 1

3 Break Points Faced 5

15 Winners 21

26 Unforced Errors 35

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Jaime Faria vs Yibing Wu — Prediction