ATP tennis predict — Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 01:20

Predicted probability

Jaime Faria

Portugal

43.54%

Jenson Brooksby

USA

56.46%

Average Odds

2.19 / 1.67

Market probability

43.26% / 56.74%

Why This Prediction?

Jenson Brooksby is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1814 vs 1557), fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.20) and more wins on hard courts (62 vs 12).

Player Comparison

1765.4 Elo 1722.7

1557.5 Elo (surface) 1814.5

42 Wins 93

12 Wins (surface) 62

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.088 Dominance ratio 0.880

79 Rank 74

23.0 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Jaime Faria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Jenson Brooksby

1st Serve In %

59.6%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.0%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.7%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.63

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.3%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Jaime Faria Jenson Brooksby

Break Points Saved %

67.1%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.0%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.0%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.3%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Jaime Faria 0 – 1 Jenson Brooksby

Hard US Open · 2026-08-30

1. round

Jaime Faria #72

Jenson Brooksby #74

6-3 7-6 4-6 1-6 6-2

14 Aces 6

14 Double Faults 3

154 Service Points 145

79 First Serve In 94

56 First Serve Won 66

36 Second Serve Won 21

9 Break Points Saved 5

16 Break Points Faced 11

41 Winners 46

53 Unforced Errors 42

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

1. round

Jaime Faria #79

Jenson Brooksby #74

6-3 6-2

5 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 53

33 First Serve In 33

26 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 7

14 Winners 13

25 Unforced Errors 29

2.2 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Roland Garros · 2025-05-26

R128

Jenson Brooksby #161

Jaime Faria #115

6-1 3-6 6-3 6-2

1 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

105 Service Points 95

67 First Serve In 63

47 First Serve Won 43

26 Second Serve Won 15

8 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby — Prediction